Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
○ Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Fouere, L.; Youinou, M.; Schimpf, C.; Mongardon, N.; Quesnel, C.; Philippart, F.
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Incidence of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is increased in patients admitted for brain injury. Staphylococcus aureus appears to be a particularly common pathogen in these respiratory infections. Our aim was to confirm the extent of S. aureus involvement in VAP among patients with neurological injuries. We conducted a retrospective, multicenter study including patients with and without neurological injuries who developed VAP during their ICU stay. Among 15 702 patients admitted in the participant centers during the study period. 407 were finally included in the study. S. aureus was involved in 122 (61.6%) VAP in brain-injured patients and 63 (30.1%) of non-brain-injured patients. In brain-injured patients, multivariate analysis identified age (0.97 [0.95; 0.98]), antibioprophylaxis (0.31 [0.18; 0.53]; p < 0.0001), subarachnoid hemorrhage (2.18 [1.01; 4.68]; p=0.0461), lower Glasgow coma score (0.92 [0.87; 0.97]; p= 0.004) and SAPS II (0.98 [0.97; 1]; p=0.0174) as critical factors associated with the risk of S. aureus in VAP. In the non-brain-injured population, multivariate analysis identified antibioprophylaxis (0.38 [0.22; 0.65]; p=0.0006), age (0.96 [0.95; 0.98]; p<0.0001), SAPS II (0.98 [0.97; 1]; p=0.0265), thoracic surgery (0.21 [0.09; 0.48]; p=0.0002) and peripheral neurosurgery (1.95 [1.2; 3.19]; p=0.0076) as critical factors. A total of 172 patients (42.3%) died during their ICU stay and 90-days mortality was 194 (47.7%). No difference of mortality was noticed function of VAP-associated pathogen.
Zumba, M. A.; S., M.; A., J.; E., L.; H., M.; A., O.; F, R.; M., E.
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Sepsis is a global health problem. Patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) are at risk of having sepsis because of their vulnerability and use of invasive medical devices. Emerging antimicrobial-resistance complicates treatment. Understanding bacterial profiles and antibiotic sensitivity patterns in the ICU plays an important role in managing sepsis, optimizing antimicrobial use, and improving patient outcomes. The aim of this study was to show bacterial profiles and antibiotic sensitivity patterns among patients who were admitted to the ICU at Mbeya Zonal Referral Hospital for 12 months. This was a prospective cross-sectional study among 187 sepsis-suspected patients. Data analysis was performed using SPSS Version 27. Categorical data were summarized by frequency and percentage. Fishers exact test, chi-square test, and modified Poisson regression were used to show the association between patients clinical variables and culture positivity at a 95% CI. Statistical significance was set at a p-value < 0.05. Out of 187 samples, 41.7% were culture positive. Gram-negative bacteria were commonly isolated (65.4%, with Klebsiella pneumoniae and Escherichia coli being commonly isolated. Commonly isolated Gram-positive bacteria were Coagulase-negative Staphylococcus species (19%). 100% of gram-positive bacteria and 96% of gram-negative bacteria were Multi-Drug Resistant (MDR), respectively. In multivariable analysis, patients who were intubated and mechanically ventilated (aPR = 2.208, 95% CI: 1.133-4.305, p = 0.020) and post-laparotomy patients (aPR = 3.241,95% CI: 1.320-7.958, p = 0.010) independently had a higher proportion of Gram-negative bacteria. The study reveals a high level of resistance to commonly used antimicrobials in our setting, necessitating strengthening of the antimicrobial stewardship program and routine surveillance of antimicrobial resistance patterns.
Hoffman, K. L.; Weil, A. A.; Wetzler, E. A.; Akinola, B. O.; Beauge, A.; Andy, C.; Adams, A.; Frivold, C.; Cox, S. N.; Ehmen, B.; Hatchie, T.; Clark, E. L.; Drummond, M.; Englund, J.; Han, P. D.; Kuntz, J. L.; Lo, N. C.; Lockwood, C.; Starita, L.; Mularski, R. A.; Naleway, A. L.; Carone, M.; Chu, H. Y.
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Background: The relationship between recent viral infection and subsequent susceptibility to, or protection against, other viruses remains unclear, particularly across ages and symptom status. Methods: A prospective cohort study enrolled participants aged 6 months to 49 years in Washington and Oregon, USA, 2022-2024. Weekly nasal swabs were tested for SARS-CoV-2, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and influenza A/B; additional swabs were collected during symptomatic illness and were also tested for parainfluenza (PIV) 1-4, endemic human coronaviruses (hCOV), adenovirus, human metapneumovirus, human rhinovirus (hRV), and enteroviruses. Proportional hazards regression models were used to characterize associations between incident symptomatic infection (illness) and history of recent illness due to other viruses (within 1-7, 8-14, 15-30, 31-60, 61-90, 91-180 days), adjusted for geographic region, age, sex, daycare/school/work attendance, household size, and number of children in the household. For SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and RSV, these analyses were repeated to study incidence of infection (including asymptomatic cases). Findings: Of 3,560 participants, 2,969 (83%) had [≥]1 illness over 4,299 person-years. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) in the short term ([≤]2 weeks) after an illness were predominantly below 1, indicating that recent viral illness was often associated with lower risk of subsequent illness with other viruses. Across age groups, recent hRV illness was associated with lower risk of hCOV, PIV, and RSV illness (aHRs 0.07-0.27). SARS-CoV-2 illness was associated with a higher short-term risk of adenovirus and PIV illness (aHRs 3.20-3.33). In children aged 6 months-4 years, recent influenza illness was associated with higher short-term risk of SARS-CoV-2 illness. Including asymptomatic infections generally attenuated these associations. Interpretation: Some viral illnesses may alter short-term susceptibility to subsequent viral illnesses. Interactions may differ by age and symptom status. Funding: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Washington State Department of Health.
Olivier, L.; Madzhakova, D.; Lauterbach Oprea, C.; Stollenwerk, A.; Orlikowsky, T.; Schoberer, M.
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Introduction: Fighting the ventilator (FV) is characterized by a patients active counteraction of respiratory gas flow across multiple breaths during mechanical ventilation. An effective ventilation is prevented during such episodes. The objective of this exploratory study was to evaluate clinicians knowledge, perception and agreement regarding this condition. Methods: In a cross-sectional online survey, medical professionals with experience in intensive care medicine (mostly neonatal and pediatric patients) responded to 11 questions covering various clinical aspects of FV. Results: All respondents were familiar with the phenomenon and assessed it to be clinically relevant. Neonates were perceived to be predominantly affected. Promoting factors of FV included inadequate sedation and ventilation-associated factors. In clinical practice, the participants identified FV by clinical evaluation, analysis of ventilator waveforms and capnography and used both pharmacological and non-pharmacological intervention strategies. There was no consensus concerning the English terminology of the condition. Only few respondents were familiar with local guidelines to manage FV. Conclusion: Although there was consensus on the relevance of FV, diagnostics and management strategies were highly heterogeneous. Many participants agreed that poor patient-ventilator synchrony was an important cause of FV. Future work should focus on characterizing and generating evidence on FV.
Khan, J. Y.; Groh, J. M.; Dookeran, K. A.
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Objectives: Using a nationally representative database of U.S. hospitalizations, we aimed to (1) characterize contemporary trends in hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) prevalence by severity, therapeutic hypothermia (TH) utilization, and associated in-hospital mortality; and (2) examine the association between TH and mortality by HIE severity and gestational age (GA), focusing on 35- and 36-weeks GA. Methods: We analyzed newborn hospitalizations from the National Inpatient Sample, 2016-2023. Unspecified, mild, moderate, and severe HIE were identified using ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes P91.60-P91.63; and 35- and 36-weeks GA using codes P07.38-P07.39. TH was identified using ICD-10-PCS codes 6A4Z0ZZ and 6A4Z1ZZ. Survey-weighted multivariable generalized linear models with marginal standardization were used to estimate adjusted mortality risk differences (RD) with surprisal (S) values, and assess whether associations between TH and mortality differed by HIE severity across GA strata. Results: Among 29,767,238 hospital discharges, HIE was identified in 66,535 neonates (2.24 per 1,000), and TH used in 19.2% of HIE cases. In-hospital mortality was 9.74% among all HIE cases and 6.65% among TH-treated neonates. From 2016-23, HIE prevalence nearly doubled (1.58 to 3.01 per 1,000; p-for-trend <0.001) and TH utilization more than doubled (0.33 to 0.74 per 1,000; p-for-trend <0.001), while TH use as a proportion of HIE remained stable (17.8%-20.8%; p-for-trend=0.39). HIE severity distribution was: mild (15%), moderate (29.4%), severe (18.3%), and unspecified (37.3%), with moderate HIE increasing over time (22.3%-33.5%). Crude mortality was consistently highest for severe HIE (range: 33.65%-35.25%). Among infants with severe HIE, TH was associated with reduced mortality overall (RD -10.12%; 95% CI -14.86, -5.39; p<0.001; S=15.12), and specifically at 36-weeks GA (RD -21.98%; 95% CI -35.85, -8.12; p=0.002; S=9.06), but not at 35-weeks (RD -1.83%; 95% CI -21.2, 17.55; p=0.86; S=0.22). Conclusions: TH was associated with mortality reduction in severe HIE overall and at 36-weeks GA, but this benefit remains uncertain at 35-weeks GA.
Chaves Filho, A. M.; Nascimento, E. F.; Goncalves, L. D. C.; Dias Filho, F. J.; Oliveira, T. Q.; Macedo, D. S.; Dal-Pizzol, F.; de Moraes, M. E. A.; Barichello, T.
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OBJECTIVE: Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) and sepsis-associated delirium (SAD) lack confirmatory laboratory tests or biomarkers. We evaluated whether the Th17/interleukin (IL)-17 axis or neuroglial-injury biomarkers reflect acute brain dysfunction beyond systemic inflammation and whether biomarker profiles differ between these phenotypes. DATA SOURCES: EMBASE, MEDLINE/PubMed, and the Cochrane Library from inception to August 1, 2026, supplemented by backward and forward citation searching, following PRISMA 2020. STUDY SELECTION: Observational studies of adults with sepsis classified by SAE or SAD status and reporting circulating biomarker concentrations by neurological group or biomarker-outcome associations. Eighteen studies (2,388 participants; 1,863 with sepsis) were included. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently extracted study, phenotype, assay, and outcome data. Risk of bias was assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and certainty with GRADE. DATA SYNTHESIS: Random-effects models pooled standardized mean differences (SMDs) separately against non-septic and septic controls and odds ratios (ORs) for biomarker-outcome associations. IL-6 was the only mediator elevated in both comparative frameworks and associated with outcomes (non-septic controls: SMD, 0.54 [0.25-0.82]; septic controls: SMD, 1.05 [0.51-1.59]; OR, 1.85 [1.50-2.29]). S100B, neuron-specific enolase, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor; and interferon-gamma; were elevated versus septic controls, whereas IL-17 was modestly elevated only versus non-septic controls (SMD, 0.37 [0.01-0.73]). The IL-6 septic-control effect was concentrated in SAE (p<0.0001) and remained robust in leave-one-out and risk-of-bias sensitivity analyses. Certainty was low to very low, and all 14 computable prediction intervals included the null. CONCLUSIONS: IL-6 emerges as the leading circulating candidate biomarker of sepsis-associated brain dysfunction, while S100B and NSE capture neuroglial injury beyond sepsis. Current evidence does not establish a discriminating role for the Th17 axis. Future studies require standardized neurological phenotyping and appropriately matched septic controls to establish diagnostic value.
Wallace, H. L.; Halbrook, M. L.; Kompany, J. P.; Hoff, N. A.; Merritt, S.; Mukadi, P.; Beya, M.; Kalengi, H.; Tambu, M.; Mossoko, Z.; Kelly, J. D.; Ball, A. H.; To, A.; Wong, T.; Kavunga-Membo, H.; Hensley, L. E.; Lehrer, A. T.; Kindrachuk, J.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.
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Background: Filoviruses, specifically Ebola virus (EBOV), Bundibugyo virus (BDBV), and Marburg virus (MARV), have been the etiologic agents of multiple outbreaks of severe disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Two EBOV-specific vaccine regimens have been approved for use in outbreak scenarios, including the Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo (Zabdeno/Mvabea) two-dose vaccine, where the MVA-BN-Filo booster dose contains EBOV, MARV, and Sudan (SUDV) virus glycoproteins (GPs) and the nucleoprotein from Tai Forest virus. While long-term immunogenicity of up to two years has been found in clinical trial settings, limited real-world data exists. Methods: Using a multiplexed immunoassay, samples (n=698 at baseline) collected in Mbandaka, Equateur province, DRC, between September 2023 and October 2024 were assessed for seroreactivity to six filovirus antigens (1 BDBV, 2 EBOV, 2 MARV, and 1 SUDV) at three distinct periods: baseline/pre-vaccination, 6-8 weeks post-first dose (Zabdeno), at booster administration (Mvabea), and one-year post-boost dose. Results: Substantial filovirus seroreactivity was found at baseline, with 48.7% (n=340/698) of individuals being seroreactive to at least one virus antigen. High baseline seroreactivity was found against BDBV GP (31.1%, n=217/698), with lower baseline seroreactivity to EBOV GP (15.5%, n=106/698), comparatively. Overall EBOV GP seroreactivity increased to 66.8% (n=376/563) at one year-post vaccine boost and 57.6% (n=250/434) of participants were seroreactive. Despite the booster dose inclusion of SUDV GP and MARV GP, there were no substantial increases in reactivity against either antigen at subsequent timepoints. Overall filovirus seroreactivity increased at all timepoints for the entire cohort, although filovirus reactivity decreased over the study period for those who were seroreactive at baseline. Findings: These data highlight detection of significantly elevated seoreactivity to EBOV GP following first-dose administration of Ad26.ZEBOV, which remained relatively stable one-year post-booster dose administration. Additionally, this study identifies high levels of baseline seroreactivity to BDBV GP despite no previous documented outbreaks in this region of DRC. These data suggest that vaccination with the Ad26.ZEBOV-MVA-BN-Filo vaccine induces stable seroreactivity against EBOV GP, but not to other filovirus antigens.
Verma, A.; Davidson, K.; Fitzgerald, E.; Donaldson, L.; Garside, T.; Elliott, R.; Bass, F.; Hammond, N. E.; Kabir, A.; Delaney, A.
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Introduction and objectives Hydrocephalus is a common complication of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage. This is one of several standard indications for the insertion of an external ventricular drain, but there are no standard guidelines for timing of extraventricular drain discontinuation in this population. Therefore, the study aims were to examine the 1) factors associated with extraventricular drain duration in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and 2) association between extraventricular drain duration and clinical and resource-based outcomes. Methods In this single centre retrospective cohort study, data for adult patients treated in the ICU between 2015-2023 with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and requiring an extraventricular drain were analysed. Data were extracted from both a prospective patient registry and the electronic medical record. Linear regression modelling was used to identify the factors associated with extraventricular drain duration. Measures used to examine the association between extraventricular drain duration, and the outcomes of interest included hazard ratio, relative risk, and mean differences as appropriate for a specific outcome. Results Of the participants (n=205), 68% (n = 140) were female, mean age was 60.7 (SD 13.3) years and 71% (n = 145) had a modified Fisher score of 4. Mean extraventricular drain duration was 15.3 (SD 8.6) days. The number of days mechanically ventilated and extraventricular drain challenge by clamp trial were associated with an increased duration of extraventricular drain treatment. Increased extraventricular drain duration was associated with an increased incidence of ventriculoperitoneal shunt insertion, and an increase in ICU and hospital length of stay when extraventricular drain duration exceeded 20 days. Conclusion The factors associated with an increased duration of extraventricular drain treatment were a longer duration of mechanical ventilation. The outcomes associated with an increased duration of extraventricular drain treatment were an increased incidence of ventriculoperitoneal shunt insertion, an increased incidence of ventriculitis when extraventricular drain duration exceeded 20 days, and an increase in ICU length of stay. These study findings may inform the conduct of a larger multi-centre study to examine the factors associated with duration of treatment with extraventricular drain, and outcomes associated with extraventricular drain duration.
Cunha, J.; Addisu, A.; Matano, D.; Younis, B.; Bayiyana, A.; Kumar, R.; Tiwari, R.; Engel, J.; Hogg, K.; Wiggins, R.; Biwott, W.; Osuna, F.; Ichugu, C.; Zeleke, A. J.; Ayele, E.; Sande, O. J.; Khalil, E. A. G.; Ibrahim, H. M. H.; Mahmoud, M. A.; Zakaria, A. I. B.; Adiko, B.; The Immstat@Cure Consortium, ; O'Toole, P.; D'Alessio, F.; Lacey, C. J. N.; Engwerda, C. R.; Sundar, S.; Mbui, J.; Hailu, A.; Mbuchi, M.; Musa, A.; Olobo, J.; Kaye, P. M.
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Background: Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is the most severe form of leishmaniasis and is caused by parasites from the Leishmania donovani complex. VL is endemic in 54 countries, with East Africa (EA) accounting for [~]70% of the global burden. Therefore, there is a pressing need to prioritize VL research in EA. Transcriptomics analysis in rodent models and patients following treatment have shown that immune homeostasis is not restored by the end of treatment. However, comprehensive proteomic studies in VL remain scarce, and the few available studies were conducted outside EA. Methodology/Principal Findings: As a part of ImmStat@cure consortium, we used the Olink Reveal proximity extension assay to profile circulating proteins in VL patients from Ethiopia, Kenya and Sudan. By comparing patients at admission and 17 days after treatment with SSG-PM, we have identified a systemic Th1-cytotoxic inflammatory profile at admission, characterized by high abundance of IFN{gamma}, IL-1B, IL-6, and the granzymes A and B. Chemokines with high abundance included CXCL8/10/11, CCL3, CCL4, CCL8, CXCL8 and CCL20, consistent with the recruitment of monocytes, macrophages, T cells, and NK cells. There were also evidence of immune regulation/exhaustion, with high levels of PD1, PD-L2, IDO1 and KYNU. Although the immune profiles were similar at admission, country specific differences were observed after treatment. Kenyan patients exhibited a sustained inflammatory profile and signatures of myeloid recruitment, characterized by high levels of IL-1B, IL-6 , IL-12A, CXCL8, CCL2, CCL3, CCL4, CCL7 and CEBPB. Sudanese patients showed signatures associated with lymphocyte activation and immune regulation. Conclusions/Significance: These results highlight the complexity of the immune changes associated with VL, identifying both core conserved profiles at admission and country-specific profiles after treatment. The data provided here will provide a valuable resource for future comparative studies across more diverse different geographic regions, for linkage studies that assess the impact of parasite genotype on immune / metabolic response and for use during the evaluation of new therapies against VL.
Vidal, B.; Neves, S. O.; Santos, I. P.; Sardi, S. I.; Campos, G. s.
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Introduction: Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) is a global public health problem and a major cause of mortality in low- and lower-middle-income countries. Human bocavirus (HBoV) is among the viral agents associated with this condition. Therefore, investigating the presence of HBoV in cases of AGE in Salvador, Bahia, as well as its prevalence and circulating strains, is important. Objective: To investigate the occurrence of HBoV infection during an AGE outbreak in Salvador. Methods: A total of 178 samples were analyzed for HBoV using nested polymerase chain reaction (nested PCR), and the amplification products were visualized by agarose gel electrophoresis. HBoV was detected in 5.7% of the samples analyzed. Conclusion: This study contributes to the understanding of HBoV epidemiology as a secondary agent associated with acute gastroenteritis during a norovirus outbreak in Salvador. Continued investigation and identification of the etiological agents involved in outbreaks are essential for evaluating the causes of AGE. These findings also highlight the need for broader diagnostic approaches and the importance of phylogenetic analysis for monitoring and controlling viral infections.
Ekat, M. H.; Amona, M.; Andzi Barre, M.; Bendett Lebaho, P.; Aloumba, G. A.; Adoua Doukaga, T.
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Background: Severe malaria remains a major cause of hospitalization in malaria-endemic sub-Saharan Africa, and anemia is among its most frequent severity criteria. Data on the impact of anemia on hospital length of stay (LOS) among adults with severe malaria remain limited in Central Africa. We assessed the impact of anemia on LOS among adults hospitalized for severe malaria in Brazzaville, Republic of Congo. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional, descriptive, and analytic study of medical records from adult patients ([≥]18 years) diagnosed with severe malaria (WHO criteria) and admitted to four hospitals in Brazzaville between January 2020 and December 2024. We dichotomized LOS as short (<5 days) or prolonged ([≥]5 days). Multivariable logistic regression, using a backward stepwise procedure, identified factors independently associated with prolonged LOS; isolated hemoglobinuria served as the reference severity category. Results: Among 523 patients hospitalized for severe malaria, 296 met the inclusion criteria. Median age was 25.5 years (IQR 20-40); 51.7% were female, and 82.1% had a low socioeconomic status. Median hemoglobin was 10.55 g/dL, and median LOS was 4 days (IQR 3-5). In multivariable analysis, prolonged LOS was independently associated with delay to consultation (aOR 1.25/day, 95% CI 1.09-1.44), isolated anemia (aOR 7.07, 1.23-40.55), convulsions (aOR 5.86, 1.81-18.97), prostration (aOR 4.42, 1.21-16.2), and impaired consciousness (aOR 4.29, 1.17-15.7). The strongest associations involved combined severity criteria: anemia with prostration (aOR 8.58), anemia with jaundice or hemoglobinuria (aOR 16.21), and impaired consciousness with anemia (aOR 33.31). Conclusions: Anemia is a major, potentially modifiable determinant of prolonged hospitalization in adults with severe malaria, with a markedly amplified effect when combined with neurologic impairment. Early anemia screening, improved access to safe blood transfusion, and reduced delays to care could shorten hospital stays and ease the burden on health systems in this setting.
Kasamatsu, A.; Ohama, Y.; Tomo, Y.; Imai, K.; Nakayama, S.-i.; Omori, R.; Yamagishi, T.; Yasuda, M.; Akeda, Y.
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Background: Treponema pallidum quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) positivity and cycle threshold (Ct) by rapid plasma reagin (RPR), disease stage, and other characteristics are poorly characterized in routine-care specimens, leaving it unclear when qPCR of such specimens is informative for diagnosis. Methods: This Japanese multicenter cross-sectional study explored qPCR positivity and Ct by these characteristics. Nonblood specimens collected during routine care underwent qPCR at a central laboratory for this study. Bayesian logistic and normal regressions modeled positivity and mean Ct of TP0574 and polA with stage-specific continuous automated RPR terms, patient characteristics, collection site, and facility random intercepts. Estimates were standardized over the analyzed specimens. Population-group predictions were instead averaged within each group. Results: Among 154 nonblood specimens from 145 patients (71.7% non-MSM men and women) at 14 facilities, 109 (70.8%) were qPCR positive. At RPR 1, adjusted positivity was 72.2% (95% credible interval, 60.9%--82.9%) in primary and 43.8% (16.7%--69.9%) in secondary syphilis. Positivity showed a modest downward trend with RPR in primary but increased in secondary syphilis, reflecting a stage-by-RPR interaction (secondary-to-primary ratio of odds ratios, 1.78; 1.25--2.65). Predicted positivity showed an upward trend with RPR values among MSM; adjusted positivity was relatively high for genital/urethral/urinary and anal/perianal/rectal specimens. Adjusted mean Ct increased with RPR in primary and followed an inverted-U pattern in secondary syphilis. Conclusions: In primary syphilis, nonblood qPCR positivity was high even at low RPR. When serologic findings remain inconclusive in this stage, qPCR is highly recommended for securing an early diagnosis.
Merritt, S.; Kindrachuk, J.; Nkamba, D.; Hoff, N. A.; Kalengi, H.; Halbrook, M.; Kamba, L.; Beya, M.; Petrichko, S.; Wallace, H. L.; Luhata, C.; Kaba, D.; Rimoin, A. W.
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We report general acceptance (79.0%) of Ebola vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) between 2023-2024 (n=5,062). Acceptance varied significantly by province with acceptance ranging from 47.6% in Kongo Central to 92.1% in Tshuapa province and was highest among healthcare workers. While Ebola vaccine acceptance and disease knowledge are relatively strong nationally in the DRC, regional differences do exist and may impact future vaccine rollout.
Swe, M. M. M.; Pauwel, I.; Costa, S. F.; Porto, A. P. M.; Reyes, M. R. D. L.; Garcia, J.; Soltani, J.; Banda, D. C.; Rachina, S.; Belkova, Y.; Maldonado, H.; Lopicic, M.; Raicevic, M.; Vlieghe, E.; Versporten, A.; Sharland, M.; Cooper, B. S.; Lim, C.; The Adila Consortium, ; The Global-PPS network,
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Background: Both over- and under-antibiotic use pose major global health challenges, yet there is no consensus on how to quantify deviations from optimal prescribing or set evidence-based targets. We developed a benchmarking tool for inpatient antibiotic use and evaluated its application in 10 countries. Methods: We developed decision-tree models to estimate expected empiric antibiotic use for 11 indications, based on the WHO AWaRe book for two age groups: 28 days to 12 years and >12 years. We parameterised the models using country-specific antimicrobial resistance estimates in the 10 countries and cross-sectional Global Point Prevalence Survey (Global-PPS) case-mix data from 2021 for 10 countries and from 2015-2022 in a subset of five countries. We then compared estimated expected antibiotic use with observed empiric use (from Global-PPS) in defined daily doses for adults and days of therapy for children, across indications and AWaRe categories. Findings: In 2021, among patients aged >12 years, in all countries but one, observed empiric Access antibiotic use, as a proportion of total antibiotic use, was lower than expected and empiric Watch antibiotic use was higher than expected. Similar patterns were observed in all countries but one in patients aged 28 days to 12 years. The magnitude of discrepancies between expected and observed Access and Watch antibiotic use varied across indications and countries. The median observed-to-expected ratios of usage across countries ranged from 0.3-0.8 for Access antibiotics, and 0.7-5.3 for Watch antibiotics in patients aged >12 years in 2021. Temporal trends from repeated surveys from 2015 to 2022 showed little change in observed-to-expected ratios for Access and Watch antibiotics. Interpretation: This benchmarking tool uses Global-PPS data to quantify differences between observed antibiotic use and WHO AWaRe recommendations. Our tool can be adaptable to local guidelines, provides policy-relevant estimates of expected antibiotic use to support monitoring, procurement planning, and targeted stewardship intervention.
Menzies, N. A.; Swartwood, N. A.; Singh, N.; Can, M. H.; Cui, H.; Ryuk, D. K.; Mortazavi, S. A.; Horton, K. C.; MacPherson, P.
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Background: Age is an important determinant of tuberculosis (TB) risk, but population-level age patterns in TB prevalence have not been systematically quantified across settings. We conducted a systematic review of surveys conducted in low- and middle-income countries to quantify trends in TB prevalence across age groups. Methods: We collated age-stratified TB prevalence data for individuals aged 15+ years, from population-based surveys reported between 1993 and 2025. We analyzed data using Bayesian meta-regression models, estimating trends in bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB prevalence across age groups. We extended models to understand how age trends varied with alternative outcome definitions and data subsets, and examined correlations between TB age trends and sociodemographic determinants. We also estimated age-stratified notification-to-prevalence ratios as a measure of diagnostic delays for untreated TB. Findings: We included 82 unique surveys reporting age-stratified TB prevalence, spanning 30 countries and 4.6 million participants. These data demonstrated a pattern of increasing bacteriologically confirmed TB prevalence with older age, with each 10-year increase associated with a 30% (95% credible interval: 22, 38) increase in prevalence. TB prevalence for the oldest age group (75+: 796 per 100,000 [522, 1178]) was 6.4 (4.0, 10.4) times higher than the youngest (15-19: 127 per 100,000 [79, 186]), and positive age gradients were estimated for all countries (interquartile range: 23-40% increase per 10-year increase in age). Age gradients were lower in Africa compared to other regions, and for smear-positive compared to bacteriologically confirmed TB. Countries with HIV prevalence [≥]5% had flatter age gradients above 40 years of age. Age gradients declined slowly over the study period. Notification-to-prevalence ratios demonstrated a negative age gradient, declining by 10% (7, 14) per 10-year increase in age. Interpretation: The prevalence of untreated TB disease increases substantially throughout adulthood, and lower notification-to-prevalence ratios suggest poorer case detection among older individuals.
Mason, K. J.; Jordan, K. P.; Thomas, M. J.; Bailey, J.; Mughal, F.; Protheroe, J.; Jowett, S.; Saxne Jöud, A.; Snell, K. I.; Dunn, K. M.
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Objective: to estimate reconsultation risk and trajectories after a new episode of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people (CYP), and to determine routinely recorded prognostic factors associated with reconsultation. Design: Population based retrospective cohort study. Setting: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum, 2005-2021. Participants: CYP aged 8-18 years consulting primary care for a new musculoskeletal pain episode (no musculoskeletal consultation in prior 12-months). Main Outcome Measures: Musculoskeletal pain reconsultation within 12-months, and 3-year musculoskeletal reconsultation trajectories derived using latent class growth analysis. Prognostic factors selected from a literature search and two-year symptom histories (sample prevalence >1%) were examined using regression models (conditional logistic; multinomial). Results: Among 313,830 CYP with >12 months' follow-up, 32% reconsulted for musculoskeletal pain within 12 months. Among 240,384 CYP with >3 years' follow-up, three trajectories were observed: single episode (62%), early reconsultation (18%), and persistent reconsultation (20%). Older age; female gender; hip, knee, multisite and back pain on index; previous headache; previous abdominal pain; and analgesic prescribing were associated with higher reconsultation risk. Asian or Black ethnicity, and residing in more deprived areas, were associated with lower recorded reconsultation. Conclusion: Most CYP had no further recorded consultation, but 38% followed early or persistent reconsultation trajectories. Routinely recorded prognostic factors, particularly index pain side and prior pain/symptom history, may differentiate groups who could benefit from proactive follow-up. Lower recorded reconsultation among Asian and Black individuals, and living in more deprived areas, should not imply lower need and warrants equity-sensitive monitoring of access, health-seeking, and coding.
Vidal, B.; Neves, S.; Santos, I. P.; Sardi, S. I.; Campos, G. S.
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Introduction: Acute gastroenteritis (AGE) is a cause of childhood morbidity and may be associated with human adenovirus (HAdV) infection. This study aimed to investigate the occurrence of HAdV in fecal samples from children with AGE in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, as well as to molecularly characterize the identified strains and evaluate their cytopathic effects in cell culture. Methods: A total of 131 samples were analyzed using the nested polymerase chain reaction (Nested-PCR) technique. Molecular characterization was performed through Sanger sequencing and phylogenetic analysis, while Vero cell cultures were used to investigate the occurrence of cytopathic effects. Results: Of the samples analyzed, 13 (9.9%) tested positive for HAdV, while 118 (90.1%) were negative. The highest detection frequency was observed in children aged three years or younger, particularly those under one year of age. Phylogenetic analysis identified variants related to HAdV-F41 and HAdV-B3, revealing genetic differences and distinct clustering patterns compared with reference sequences. In cell culture, cytopathic effects were observed four days after inoculation, although further analyses are required to confirm productive viral replication. Conclusion: These findings demonstrate the presence of HAdV in the samples studied and contribute to understanding its genetic diversity and circulation in Salvador, highlighting the importance of epidemiological surveillance and further studies on its role in the etiology of childhood AGE.
Zhou, Z.; Malosh, R.; Sudan, S.; Wagner, A.; Eisenberg, M. C.; Monto, A.; Martin, E. T.
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Background Influenza vaccines have seen many changes over recent years in terms of both policy recommendations and product types. Immune responses and vaccine effectiveness vary by vaccine strain composition and product type. This study aimed to explore this variation on a regional level through examining spatial and temporal autocorrelations of vaccine uptake of different product types within Michigan from 2017 to 2021. Methods Influenza vaccine administration data from the 2017/18 to 2021/22 seasons were obtained from the Michigan Care Improvement Registry. Population size estimates for 2017 and 2019 were obtained from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services. Age-standardized and age-stratified vaccination rates were computed. Disparate county-level vaccine uptake clusters were constructed using spatial autocorrelation indicators and spatiotemporal clusters were identified using scan statistics. Linear mixed effect models were used to study the impact of social vulnerability and urbanicity level on seasonal influenza vaccination rate. Results Vaccination incidence rates for adjuvanted, recombinant, and nasal sprays vaccines and for any vaccines increased significantly through the study period. County-level spatiotemporal clusters of type-specific uptake rates were identified. Most notably, we identified an emerging cluster with high uptake of adjuvanted vaccine radiating from Ottawa County, located in suburban Grand Rapids, and the disappearance of high uptake cluster for high-dose vaccine uptake in the area. Vaccination rates by any product type were found to vary seasonally and showed weak negative association with more rural regions. The overall vaccination rates appear to be lower among counties with higher social vulnerability in certain urbanicity levels, but social vulnerability and urbanicity were not significantly associated with overall vaccination rate during the study period. Conclusions Vaccine type-specific uptake was spatially and temporally diverse in Michigan between 2017 and 2022. Mid and Northern Michigan had consistently relatively lower vaccination rate compared to other regions in Michigan.
van Wyk, S.; Gwasupika, J.; Mapahla, L.; Asua, V.; Harrison, L. E.; Kamya, M. R.; Nankabirwa, J. I.; Barnes, K. I.
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Artemisinin partial resistance (ART R) associated Plasmodium falciparum Kelch13 mutations is expanding across Africa. However, their population level consequences remain poorly understood, particularly in settings of moderate to high malaria transmission. We investigated associations between Kelch13 and partner drug mutation prevalence and monthly confirmed malaria incidence across 16 Ugandan districts from 2017 to 2022, using integrated molecular, epidemiological, climatic, malaria control, and antimalarial resistance data and negative binomial regression. Combined prevalence of WHO validated and candidate Kelch13 mutations increased over the study period. Each 10 percentage point increase in Kelch13 prevalence was associated with a 13.1% higher incidence after multivariable adjustment (aIRR 1.131, 95% CI 1.090 to 1.174). Furthermore, each 10% increase in pfcrt K76T was associated with a 24% increase in malaria transmission. As expected, ITN distribution >80%, IRS coverage >90%, and higher altitude were associated with lower incidence, whereas temperatures of 25 to 30C, relative humidity of 60 to 80%, and higher precipitation were associated with higher incidence. The persistence of the Kelch13 and pfcrt K76T association after adjustment suggests that expanding ART R associated parasite populations are independently associated with malaria incidence. The relationship may be bidirectional. These findings support interpreting ART R within its ecological and intervention context and integrating molecular, epidemiological, and malaria control surveillance to safeguard antimalarial efficacy.
Simons, D.
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Background. Nigeria's reported Lassa fever case fatality ratio (CFR) rose from 18.9% at week 23 of 2025 to 25.0% in 2026, prompting concerns over failing clinical care. Because surveillance artefacts can also alter CFRs, candidate mechanisms that published data can resolve were identified and evaluated. Methods. This ecological study extracted weekly state-level counts from 474 Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention situation reports (2017-2026). Per a pre-specified plan, years were compared at phase-matched points, year-on-year CFR changes were decomposed into within-state and between-state components, and tipping-point ascertainment shifts calculated. Weekly incident and cumulative published totals were compared post hoc. Findings. Of 11 candidate mechanisms, 2 could be evaluated fully and 5 in part. On weekly incident counts, 2026 did not differ from 2025 at the phase-matched midpoint (+0.3 percentage points, 95% CI -5.0 to 7.6); within-state (-1.1, 95% CI -4.7 to 3.0) and between-state (+0.5, -2.0 to 2.9) components spanned zero. Conversely, the published cumulative CFR was 5.4 to 6.2 percentage points higher because 70 deaths were added retrospectively by week 36 outside weekly reports. Reconciling cumulative figures would require 279 missed survivors (6% of suspected cases not confirmed). Interpretation. The 2026 CFR rise came from deaths added to cumulative totals outside the weekly counts, and published data cannot attribute it to care. Endemic zoonotic CFRs cannot serve as clinical outcome measures unless testing volumes, deaths added late, and post-mortem sampling are published alongside case counts. Funding. US NSF-NIH-NIFA EEID; UK BBSRC; Birgitta Sintring Fellowship (Uppsala University).